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Red72
584017.7
309125.3
424018.4
Blue42
617717.4
360019.9
494118.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616402040801001201407242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
24.625.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
red by 5.5
3600
#16
19.91.4
22.621.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Second
4240
#12
18.40.8
17.918.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 0.5
4941
#17
18.91.3
18.917.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
5840
#10
17.70.8
17.218.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End2.9
red by 0.3
6177
#13
17.41.3
20.018.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed