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Red54
584818.2
332924.8
100223.6
Blue76
418836.9
126137.4
309125.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338902060801001201401605476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.9
11.812.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End3.4
blue by 12.6
37.40.5
28.427.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.9
End5.3
Second
1002
#14
23.61.5
19.721.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 13.4
36.90.5
31.230.7
Auto9.7
Teleop21.4
End5.9
Third
18.20.9
8.79.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 7.2
25.30.5
18.518.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed