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Final 12016 Peachtree District State Championship
Red169
297440.5
402633.4
491032.4
Blue162
241544.8
126141.6
451624.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12714250100150200169162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#17
40.50.3
40.1→40.4
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
blue by 4.2
2415
#6
44.80.1
45.4→45.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
Second
4026
#7
33.40.3
33.1→33.4
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
blue by 8.2
1261
#3
41.60.1
42.3→42.4
Auto12.1
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
4910
#14
32.40.3
32.0→32.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
red by 8.1
4516
#18
24.30.1
24.9→25.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3