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Red107
309129.1
241544.8
419315.0
Blue72
424019.9
451624.3
582818.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83610204010012014016010772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.3
40.341.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 20.5
4516
#18
24.30.6
24.024.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Second
3091
#26
29.11.3
25.426.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
red by 9.2
4240
#39
19.90.6
19.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Third
4193
#36
15.01.3
11.813.1
Auto1.9
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 3.3
5828
#37
18.30.6
19.119.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed