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Red83
500427.6
558229.1
474929.9
Blue88
418928.9
446838.8
617719.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78820501001508388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4749
#31
29.90.5
26.126.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
blue by 8.9
38.80.6
36.737.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
Second
5582
#28
29.10.5
22.623.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End5.4
red by 0.3
4189
#15
28.90.6
26.427.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
5004
#34
27.60.5
27.327.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 8.6
6177
#29
19.00.6
15.716.3
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned