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Red117
446838.8
451624.3
241544.8
Blue83
590026.0
507419.4
418842.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127505010015020011783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.9
41.642.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 2.7
42.00.0
40.840.7
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Second
38.80.9
37.338.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 12.9
5900
#22
26.00.0
21.021.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Third
4516
#18
24.30.9
24.625.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
red by 4.9
5074
#35
19.40.0
16.716.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed