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Red103
131126.3
332926.5
360031.8
Blue88
474929.9
418928.9
513231.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779005015020010388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3600
#32
31.81.7
28.830.5
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
red by 0.2
31.60.2
31.932.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
Second
26.51.7
25.927.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
blue by 3.4
4749
#31
29.90.2
26.626.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
Third
1311
#20
26.31.7
22.524.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
blue by 2.5
4189
#15
28.90.2
27.027.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed