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Red79
177131.4
513231.6
500427.6
Blue98
451624.3
297440.5
174646.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931114060801001201401601807998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.0
32.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
blue by 14.7
46.30.8
39.738.9
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
1771
#23
31.41.0
31.931.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
blue by 9.1
2974
#17
40.50.8
39.839.0
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Third
5004
#34
27.61.0
28.827.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 3.4
4516
#18
24.30.8
25.825.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed