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Red69
582818.3
494123.6
590026.0
Blue73
418928.9
507419.4
402633.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277020401001201401606973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#22
26.00.5
21.021.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End3.1
blue by 7.5
33.40.1
28.328.4
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Second
4941
#25
23.60.5
21.522.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
blue by 5.3
4189
#15
28.90.1
27.227.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
5828
#37
18.30.5
19.720.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 1.1
5074
#35
19.40.1
16.716.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed