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Red110
418842.0
358126.3
446838.8
Blue82
418928.9
548231.3
131126.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119785010015020011082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.7
41.741.1
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 10.7
5482
#10
31.30.0
30.230.2
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
38.80.7
38.237.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 9.9
4189
#15
28.90.0
27.327.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
3581
#13
26.30.7
29.929.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Level
1311
#20
26.30.0
24.524.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed