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Red95
553629.6
563233.1
451624.3
Blue92
548231.3
332926.5
474929.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898970801001109592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5632
#19
33.10.6
34.435.0
Auto10.3
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 1.8
5482
#10
31.30.3
30.230.5
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
5536
#12
29.60.6
29.329.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 0.4
4749
#31
29.90.3
28.528.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
Third
4516
#18
24.30.6
22.623.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 2.3
26.50.3
28.629.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed