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Red108
548231.3
241544.8
553629.6
Blue81
408026.3
582818.3
418928.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115692040608010014016018010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.2
45.145.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 15.9
4189
#15
28.90.5
28.629.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Second
5482
#10
31.30.2
30.530.7
Auto10.3
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 4.9
4080
#21
26.30.5
25.626.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5536
#12
29.60.2
29.930.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
red by 11.2
5828
#37
18.30.5
19.620.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed