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Red79
474929.9
100226.4
418842.0
Blue93
332926.5
581219.9
533235.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102662040801201401607993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.0
41.240.2
Auto11.3
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 6.8
35.21.3
28.930.2
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
4749
#31
29.91.0
27.526.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.8
red by 3.4
26.51.3
24.826.1
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
1002
#30
26.41.0
24.923.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End3.7
red by 6.5
5812
#24
19.91.3
15.516.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed