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Red100
402633.4
565114.8
360031.8
Blue140
83227.6
174646.3
446838.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67116050100150100140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.9
29.531.3
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
blue by 12.8
46.31.9
42.744.6
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
3600
#32
31.81.9
29.731.5
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.8
blue by 7.0
38.81.9
38.039.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
Third
5651
#41
14.81.9
13.014.9
Auto1.3
Teleop10.8
End2.6
blue by 12.8
832
#38
27.61.9
25.327.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned