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Red97
358126.3
553629.6
533235.2
Blue70
491032.4
131126.3
177131.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939270801001109770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.2
33.433.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.3
End4.8
red by 2.8
4910
#14
32.41.3
32.631.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8
Second
5536
#12
29.60.2
30.330.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 1.8
1771
#23
31.41.3
31.530.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End10.0
Third
3581
#13
26.30.2
26.026.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Level
1311
#20
26.31.3
25.824.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed