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Semifinal 1-22016 Peachtree District State Championship
Red155
174646.3
446838.8
581219.9
Blue170
297440.5
402633.4
491032.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712680100120160180200155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#2
46.30.1
46.2→46.3
Auto12.2
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 5.8
2974
#17
40.50.4
39.8→40.1
Auto7.0
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Second
4468
#1
38.80.1
38.7→38.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 5.4
4026
#7
33.40.4
32.7→33.1
Auto12.4
Teleop15.5
End5.6
Third
5812
#24
19.90.1
19.7→19.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End3.8
blue by 12.5
4910
#14
32.40.4
31.6→32.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8