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Red115
418829.2
446829.8
507412.3
Blue104
241530.5
297432.9
419311.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8099204060120140160115104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
29.329.8
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 3.1
32.90.1
32.832.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
Second
29.20.4
28.829.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 1.3
30.50.1
30.430.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
Third
5074
#31
12.30.4
11.812.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
red by 0.6
4193
#34
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4