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Red92
126124.6
533226.7
42409.6
Blue50
470116.3
363513.5
510913.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78512040601001201409250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
25.425.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 10.3
4701
#15
16.30.0
16.416.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
24.60.3
23.323.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
red by 10.7
5109
#19
13.90.0
13.914.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
4240
#27
9.60.3
8.38.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6
blue by 3.9
3635
#11
13.50.0
13.613.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.0
End3.1