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Red50
58487.7
446829.8
494111.1
Blue55
297432.9
510913.9
507412.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46530204060801005055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
18.018.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 3.1
32.90.5
27.127.6
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
Second
4941
#28
11.10.5
13.413.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 2.8
5109
#19
13.90.5
11.912.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
5848
#37DQ
7.70.5
14.515.0
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 4.6
5074
#31
12.30.5
11.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed