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Red29
38159.8
500425.1
548225.7
Blue52
126124.6
510913.9
582815.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43472030405060702952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
25.71.5
12.010.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.1
red by 1.1
24.60.8
24.225.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Second
25.11.5
17.315.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End5.1
red by 9.2
5828
#13
15.90.8
8.29.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Third
3815
#23
9.81.5
12.811.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
blue by 4.1
5109
#19
13.90.8
12.413.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed