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Red5
38159.8
573411.2
58487.7
Blue44
402621.2
451616.7
419311.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29420206080100544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5734
#30DQ
11.22.7
7.24.4
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 10.1
21.20.6
13.313.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Second
3815
#23
9.82.7
11.48.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
blue by 6.9
4516
#17
16.70.6
12.112.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Third
5848
#37
7.72.7
11.28.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 3.9
4193
#34
11.60.6
13.313.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed