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Red59
126124.6
411211.0
402621.2
Blue42
179515.8
510913.9
331814.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583302040801005942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.7
24.525.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.9
red by 8.8
1795
#26
15.80.7
10.711.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Second
21.20.7
14.815.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 6.9
3318
#18
14.40.7
13.414.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Third
4112
#20
11.00.7
13.013.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 2.9
5109
#19
13.90.7
11.312.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed