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Red30
529317.5
56514.0
53368.6
Blue45
573411.2
558212.6
533226.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313802060803045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#29
17.50.7
12.211.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 9.2
26.71.0
16.517.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
5336
#38DQ
8.60.7
10.09.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 4.1
5582
#16
12.61.0
11.312.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Third
5651
#39DQ
4.00.7
8.98.2
Auto-1.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5734
#30
11.21.0
7.99.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed