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Red25
419311.6
613913.6
42409.6
Blue89
164822.8
446829.8
507412.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266402040801001202589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6139
#21
13.60.7
7.97.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 16.2
29.82.0
25.627.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Second
4193
#34
11.60.7
14.313.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 11.1
1648
#10
22.82.0
20.322.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Third
4240
#27
9.60.7
8.88.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End-0.6
blue by 2.7
5074
#31
12.32.0
10.312.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed