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Red0
521913.2
56514.0
47307.5
Blue15
38159.8
179515.8
582815.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34440206080015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5219
#22
13.23.3
14.010.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 2.8
5828
#13
15.92.5
15.813.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Second
4730
#40
7.53.3
12.49.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.3
End0.6
blue by 8.3
1795
#26
15.82.5
14.612.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
5651
#39
4.03.3
8.14.8
Auto-1.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3815
#23
9.82.5
10.88.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed