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Red57
418829.2
33299.8
164822.8
Blue35
451616.7
510913.9
558212.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64472040801005735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
26.626.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 12.6
4516
#17
16.71.2
16.715.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
1648
#10
22.80.2
22.922.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
red by 8.9
5109
#19
13.91.2
15.414.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
3329
#32
9.80.2
9.79.4
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 2.8
5582
#16
12.61.2
15.814.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed