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Red45
164822.8
470116.3
331814.4
Blue34
33299.8
241530.5
47307.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58522040804534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#10
22.80.9
22.721.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
blue by 7.8
30.51.6
33.331.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
Second
4701
#15
16.30.9
17.416.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 6.5
3329
#32
9.81.6
9.47.9
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
3318
#18
14.40.9
15.114.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
red by 6.9
4730
#40
7.51.6
9.07.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed