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Red55
297432.9
44596.9
451616.7
Blue44
470116.3
38159.8
584014.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801005544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.5
32.932.4
Auto7.2
Teleop21.2
End4.4
red by 16.6
4701
#15
16.30.4
16.516.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Second
4516
#17
16.70.5
15.314.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 2.3
5840
#33
14.40.4
15.015.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
4459
#35
6.90.5
7.47.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 2.8
3815
#23
9.80.4
7.78.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed