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Red70
331814.4
419311.6
446829.8
Blue70
558212.6
241530.5
521913.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535702040801007070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.8
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 0.7
30.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End5.2
Second
3318
#18
14.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
red by 1.2
5219
#22
13.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
4193
#34
11.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 1.0
5582
#16
12.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed