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Red32
44596.9
331814.4
573411.2
Blue70
613913.6
363513.5
451616.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324202060803270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3318
#18
14.40.0
14.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 2.3
4516
#17
16.71.6
14.916.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
5734
#30
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto1.0
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 2.5
6139
#21
13.61.6
12.113.6
Auto1.3
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Third
4459
#35
6.90.0
7.06.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 6.6
3635
#11
13.51.6
12.013.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed