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Red84
164822.8
174633.1
309117.6
Blue99
418829.2
446829.8
507412.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95772040601201408499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.2
33.433.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.8
End5.3
red by 3.3
29.80.3
28.328.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Second
1648
#10
22.80.2
23.122.9
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End1.7
blue by 6.5
29.20.3
27.928.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Third
3091
#25
17.60.2
17.917.7
Auto2.0
Teleop11.5
End4.1
red by 5.3
5074
#31
12.30.3
11.011.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5