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Red54
563231.8
58126.2
590012.6
Blue73
491026.4
83225.4
559412.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060805473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
20.021.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
red by 5.4
26.42.6
14.016.6
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
Second
5900
#27
12.61.4
10.812.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.0
blue by 12.8
832
#12
25.42.6
14.517.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Third
5812
#23
6.21.4
10.712.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 6.8
5594
#25
12.92.6
11.013.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed