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Red70
177128.3
507414.4
513227.1
Blue47
357313.3
141415.7
451625.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613302040801001207047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.7
20.822.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 2.5
25.80.4
17.017.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Second
27.11.7
21.923.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End4.2
red by 11.4
1414
#26
15.70.6
10.511.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Third
5074
#16
14.41.0
12.313.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 1.1
3573
#19
13.30.6
9.09.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed