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Red30
560823.8
168320.7
419513.5
Blue37
419311.4
513227.1
58126.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020801001201403037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.85.0
23.818.8
Auto2.4
Teleop17.0
End4.5
blue by 3.3
27.10.8
20.019.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Second
1683
#20
20.75.0
17.112.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
red by 9.3
4193
#18
11.40.5
12.311.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
4195
#24DQ
13.55.0
14.19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 7.3
5812
#23
6.20.8
11.510.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed