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Red30
419513.5
559412.9
141415.7
Blue76
451625.8
500428.8
548228.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183040601001201403076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#26
15.70.5
13.112.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 13.0
5004
#10
28.80.3
26.426.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
4195
#24
13.50.5
7.46.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 14.7
5482
#11
28.20.3
25.125.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End4.9
Third
5594
#25
12.90.5
9.38.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 12.8
25.80.3
20.220.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed