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Red59
491026.4
590012.6
602317.4
Blue35
177128.3
131120.6
58126.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53512030406070805935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.8
22.823.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End5.2
blue by 1.9
28.31.5
24.222.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Second
6023
#15
17.40.9
17.918.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End4.0
blue by 3.3
1311
#21
20.61.5
17.516.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
5900
#27
12.60.8
10.110.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 6.4
5812
#23
6.21.5
8.16.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed