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Red45
602317.4
419513.5
131120.6
Blue93
168320.7
513227.1
500428.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3776020601001204593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#21
20.60.2
16.015.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
blue by 8.1
5004
#10
28.80.7
27.027.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
6023
#15
17.40.2
18.818.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End4.0
blue by 9.7
27.11.0
23.424.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End4.2
Third
4195
#24
13.50.2
7.06.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 7.2
1683
#20
20.71.1
17.318.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed