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Red95
297439.8
326518.1
451625.8
Blue75
419311.4
131120.6
418927.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794702040601001201409575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.2
34.635.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.4
End5.2
red by 11.9
27.82.2
24.126.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
25.81.2
21.923.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 5.2
1311
#21
20.62.2
15.818.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
3265
#17
18.11.6
15.417.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 6.7
4193
#18
11.41.6
10.812.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed