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Red70
357313.3
418927.8
408017.4
Blue36
168320.7
58126.2
602317.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001207036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.3
26.226.6
Auto8.0
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 7.1
1683
#20
20.70.8
19.819.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Second
4080
#22
17.40.3
16.616.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Level
6023
#15
17.40.8
19.018.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Third
3573
#19
13.30.3
13.213.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.3
red by 7.2
5812
#23
6.20.8
6.65.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed