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Red70
548228.2
563231.8
357313.3
Blue99
168320.7
297439.8
369419.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747740601001207099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.2
31.030.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
blue by 7.9
39.81.3
37.638.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.4
End5.2
Second
5482
#11
28.20.2
28.128.0
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End4.9
red by 7.5
1683
#20
20.71.6
19.020.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Third
3573
#19
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.3
blue by 5.7
3694
#14
19.11.5
17.819.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed