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Red42
521914.3
446841.3
602319.4
Blue82
411219.9
255620.5
297438.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76820501502002503003504004282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#15
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
red by 2.8
2974
#20
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
Second
6023
#26
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 1.1
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
5219
#13
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 5.5
4112
#25
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds1%Capture odds