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Red69
358126.3
369419.5
126144.9
Blue63
494123.6
446841.3
513231.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921000501502002503003504006963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 3.6
4468
#15
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End6.4
Second
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.8
blue by 5.2
5132
#16
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
Third
3694
#24
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 4.0
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds32%Capture odds