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Red80
241543.8
83227.6
131124.7
Blue90
560834.2
418836.4
521914.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101850501502008090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto9.8
Teleop29.1
End4.9
red by 7.3
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Second
832
#27
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
blue by 6.6
5608
#17
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Third
1311
#18
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End1.8
red by 10.4
5219
#13
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto1.3
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds11%Capture odds