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Red91
309129.1
513231.6
126144.9
Blue56
297438.5
602319.4
83227.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113840501001502009156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 6.4
2974
#20
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
Second
5132
#16
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
red by 4.0
832
#27
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End5.5
Third
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
red by 9.7
6023
#26
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds1%Capture odds