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Red54
255620.5
418836.4
510922.4
Blue93
126144.9
174639.8
418928.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741240501001502005493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
blue by 8.5
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
Second
5109
#14
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
blue by 17.3
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
Third
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 8.4
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds100%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds33%Capture odds