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Red40
513231.6
451624.3
411219.9
Blue84
494123.6
174639.8
131124.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75930501502002504084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#16
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
blue by 8.2
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
Second
4516
#22
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 0.5
1311
#18
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Third
4112
#25
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 3.7
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds