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Red72
297438.5
513231.6
331814.4
Blue77
164830.4
418928.9
560834.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85980501502002507277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#20
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
red by 4.3
5608
#17
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Second
5132
#16
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End5.9
red by 1.2
1648
#12
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Third
3318
#19
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 14.5
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds4%Capture odds