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Red82
241540.6
563232.6
369419.5
Blue79
83230.4
177131.9
553626.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857202040601001201408279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.1
30.330.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.4
End6.2
red by 8.7
1771
#14
31.90.1
26.326.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Second
32.60.1
32.132.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End5.1
red by 2.1
832
#7
30.40.1
25.325.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
3694
#29
19.50.1
18.618.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 7.2
26.70.1
20.620.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed