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Red74
408023.9
131123.7
491031.9
Blue60
418924.6
510922.4
360028.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66642040801001207460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#16
31.90.7
27.728.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End5.1
red by 3.1
3600
#10
28.80.2
22.021.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
4080
#17
23.90.7
16.817.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
blue by 0.7
4189
#30
24.60.2
25.024.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
Third
1311
#18
23.70.7
19.520.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 1.3
5109
#24
22.40.2
15.615.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed