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Red72
533615.3
326519.6
174639.7
Blue77
560827.6
141416.7
408023.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6061405070807277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.9
34.034.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.9
End5.1
red by 12.1
27.60.6
24.324.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
3265
#34
19.60.9
17.218.1
Auto2.5
Teleop12.9
End4.1
blue by 4.3
4080
#17
23.90.6
17.518.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Third
5336
#23
15.30.9
7.78.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 1.4
1414
#26
16.70.6
16.917.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed